Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 373.168129 422.912588 477.952904 543.564592 619.899971 706.208852 811.602584
2025-12-14 295.308258 359.914721 437.744927 539.192304 669.069949 831.304475 1051.708144
2025-12-21 244.426906 312.055998 398.122014 517.105787 679.568754 896.924756 1215.336022
2025-12-28 222.479494 295.365651 392.545204 533.890365 738.095777 1028.546134 1484.262257
2026-01-04 207.220373 284.552860 391.920144 555.225400 803.362727 1176.460498 1800.194525
2026-01-11 189.466087 267.619299 379.883150 557.258314 838.743194 1283.024428 2068.819594
2026-01-18 170.994917 247.357237 360.265799 544.578042 848.300506 1348.532198 2278.829047
2026-01-25 155.789561 230.262883 343.301796 533.416810 857.788150 1413.684597 2497.777994
2026-02-01 148.361149 224.210573 342.510253 547.783570 911.120365 1560.778219 2894.540496
2026-02-08 138.710304 213.675288 333.376026 546.812232 937.003696 1661.495256 3219.405211
2026-02-15 129.291368 202.639022 322.280472 540.982747 952.878549 1744.968079 3524.154229
2026-02-22 122.572889 195.439237 316.850292 544.402285 986.076038 1866.426106 3935.118323
2026-03-01 114.075067 184.714955 304.690584 534.700044 993.594043 1938.969671 4255.880781
2026-03-08 107.242678 176.327755 295.919510 530.451069 1011.535402 2036.495847 4659.634836
2026-03-15 98.523898 163.977401 279.020013 508.777268 990.764170 2046.161413 4845.320589
2026-03-22 95.968760 162.355882 281.453487 525.246884 1052.565144 2251.527594 5593.261513
2026-03-29 94.141145 161.877140 285.907783 546.179090 1126.885625 2499.178976 6526.438965
2026-04-05 90.071734 156.948323 281.472948 548.173489 1158.737626 2648.940720 7217.679167
2026-04-12 84.642825 149.093015 270.754010 535.733083 1155.405240 2709.091304 7651.205109
2026-04-19 79.818127 142.071245 261.152599 524.782234 1154.262121 2774.914081 8122.390476
2026-04-26 78.027995 140.764303 262.839125 538.878058 1216.129079 3021.604469 9276.493781
2026-05-03 74.811712 136.449356 258.074687 537.925076 1240.125759 3167.335398 10124.530546
2026-05-10 71.358639 131.445296 251.519385 532.205635 1251.115561 3277.713322 10879.426806